Ornello Vitali, Alessandro Polli

Metodologie di ricostruzione di serie storiche di contabilità nazionale: alcune riflessioni preliminari

  • Abstract

Informations and abstract


A somewhat puzzling result confirmed by many studies on Italian economic growth is the apparent staticity showed by the economic system in the first 30-years post-unitarian period, if compared with the dynamics of other European countries. Not surprisingly, the agreement between inter-pretations on Italian first stage of growth has been affected by availability and robustness of economic time series that, for the post-unitarian period, were built by means of missing data reconstruction and linear back-casting techniques. After recognizing that 'statistical artificiality' embedded in the previous estimates could lead to partially biased historical interpretations, we stress the role of both non-linear statistical methodologies and price-quantity two-level analysis approach.

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