Peter Abell

Open access

Narratives, Bayesian Narratives and Narrative Actions

  • Abstract

Informations and abstract

Keywords: Bayesian narratives, causal inference, action theory, small-n, learning.

A narrative comprises of singular causal links connecting a sequence of actions/events (i.e. a chronology). A technique which inserts these links using Bayesian inferences from items of evidence is outlined. The so constructed Bayesian narratives underpin both the analysis of historically based case studies and a possible theory of action which complements the standard theories of normative and rational actions.

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